By Lefteris Moutis/ moutis@eurohoops.net
Here’s the bet analysis of the two last EuroLeague games of the season and the bets that you should try, if you feel like.
Predictions are difficult for such a big game, but the value in Olympiacos’s away win for a clear victory at 2,85 as well as the +6,5 handicap at 1,75 is granted. High payoffs for a EuroLeague final despite the fact that Fenerbahce are playing in front of 10.000 or more fans. The under 147,5 at 1,75 is rather low so it might be best to avoid it despite the fact that the game is probably heading in that direction.
Among the special bets on players, we’re holding onto the under for Udoh (13,5 at 1,75) and Vesely (9,5 at 1,75). Olympiacos are excellent defensively and, especially in the paint, they concede the fewest points than any other team in the EuroLeague. Udoh’s line especially is slightly inflated because of his excellent performance in the semifinal against Real Madrid.
It’s difficult to get involved with the third place playoff in terms of betting since we don’t know what the teams’ motivation is going to be, which players might be rested and play less (or even not at all), etc. So, the only thing that’s worth looking into in these clashes is the over of total points since the teams are lax and without much motivation. Despite this, the line is rather high (173,5 at 1,75) so we’re going to avoid including it among our choices.
The choices
Fenerbahce – Olympiacos 2 (+6,5) @1,75
Vesely under 9,5 @1,75