By Lefteris Moutis/ moutis@eurohoops.net
The results continue to be positive for the new betting column and Eurohoops gives you some tips for the upcoming domestic league games of the weekend. Here’s our predictions for the matches Fenerbahce-Tofas, Real Madrid–Valencia, Estudiantes-Fuenlabrada, AEK-Olympiacos and KAOD-Aris.
When the two best scoring teams in Liga Endesa play against each other it would be obvious to bet on the over. However, this will not be an easy game, but a real battle between Real Madrid (85,7 ppg) and Valencia (83,2 ppg). Both teams will try to control the rhythm of the game and the visitors had huge scoring problems in any difficult game (65 ppg in Euroleague and 76 vs Murcia). So, we think that both teams will not score more than 160,5 points.
Also, Estudiantes and Fuenlabrada don’t score usually a lot. Moreover, in the upcoming game the second scorer of the hosts, Stefan Bircevic will be out due to injury. The line is in the 148,5 points. And never the total points in a game of Fuenlabrada were more. Also, only twice in Estudiantes’ games more than 148,5 points were scored.
After the defeat by Panathinaikos and the departure of Bartzokas, Olympiacos doesn’t play well. In the Greek championship it’s easy for the Reds to win. But of course the circumstances at OAKA against AEK will not so friendly for the Reds. The handicap (16,5 points) forces us to bet to the hosts.
Fenerbahce faced a heavy loss in Euroleague by Panathinaikos and usually Obradovic’ teams react after this kind of results. Tofas isn’t a top quality team, lost easily to Efes and it seems that Fener can win by more than 15 points.
Also, KAOD and Aris play very good defense and are low scoring teams (64 and 73.5 ppg respectively). The line is low (139,5) but for both teams it seems impossible to score more.
The betting advice
Fenerbahce-Tofas (+15,5) 1
@Unibet 1,90
KAOD-Aris Under (139,5 points)
@Stoiximan 1,93
Real Madrid-Valencia Under (160,5 points)
@Playbet 1,95
Estudiantes-Fuenlabrada Under (148,5 points)
@Coral 1,91
AEK (+16,5)-Olympiacos 1
@William Hill 1,85