By Lefteris Moutis/ moutis@eurohoops.net
The regular season of the Euroleague comes to the end and the betting predictions are hard. But we focus on the scoring “tendency” of the teams and we recommend you to play over/under on the games Unicaja–CSKA, Efes-Nizhny, Sassari-Real.
Last week CSKA scored easily more than 90,5 points and we won the bet. Now the line (81,5 points) again is low for the Russians. In only one game they scored less than 81 points (76 vs Cedevita). And there is no reason for us not to trust them that they will score more against Unicaja.
We trust also the defense of Efes. And this time the Turkish team hosts Nizhny in the first game without Taylor Rochestie. The Russians will have for sure scoring problem and against Efes it will be tough. The scoring line of Nizhny is 69,5 points and we estimate that they will not score so many points because in the last six games of Efes only Real scored more.
Unics Kazan is in great shape and wants to win this game against Zalgiris to secure a place to the Top16. The Russians have three wins in row and the Lithuanians have only one win in the last four games. The handicap is high but Unics is expected to beat Zalgiris easy.
The same stands also for the game Limoges-Alba. The hosts come from their first win after five defeats in row. They have little chances to qualify and on the other hand Alba is in better shape (three wins in the last five games) and knows that with a victory the dream of the Top 16 comes closer. It’s weird that Limoges is considered as favorite and we bet on Alba.
The points line in the game Sassari-Real is maybe the highest during the last years in a Euroleague game. But it’s expected and we bet on over! The defense of Real in the last games is really really bad and Sassari at home always plays faster and has high scoring games. In the first round both teams scored almost 200 points and for sure they can score more than 170,5.
The betting tips
Unicaja-CSKA CSKA Over 81,5 points
@Ladbrokes 1,85
Unics Kazan-Zalgiris (+7,5) 1
@Bet365 1,90
Efes-Nizhny Nizhny Under 69,5 points
@William Hill 1,85
Limoges-Alba (+2,5) 2
@Playbet 1,92
Sassari-Real Madrid Over 170,5 points
@Coral 1,91