By Eurohoops team/ info@Eurohoops.net
Russia, Belgium, Slovenia, Montenegro and Hungary, have already secured berths at FIBA EuroBasket 2017 and with one day left in qualifiers, 10 more can hope that they can get one of the six spots still open.
So here are the last day scenarios and how things will end up after the Saturday games, as presented by FIBA.com.
Group A
Iceland are second in this group, behind the already-qualified Belgium, and their options depend on their result against Belgium as well as who, out of Cyprus and Switzerland, takes third place:
– Iceland will take a 3-1 record and qualify if they beat Belgium and Cyprus beat Switzerland.
– Iceland will take a 2-2 record and will have to wait to see how they rank in comparison to other second-placed teams if they lose to Belgium and Cyprus beat Switzerland (Iceland’s current point differential in the games with Belgium and Cyprus is +18)
– Iceland will take a 2-2 record and will have to wait to see how they rank in comparison to other second-placed teams if they beat Belgium and Switzerland beat Cyprus (Iceland’s current point differential in games with Belgium and Switzerland is -2)
– Iceland will take a 1-3 record and miss out if they lose to Belgium and Switzerland beat Cyprus.
Group B
-Netherlands will finish first in the group (and qualify) if they beat Germany or if they lose by no more than three points.
-Netherlands will finish second at 3-1 and qualify if they lose to Germany and Denmark beat Austria.
-Netherlands will finish second at 2-2 and will have to wait to see how they rank in comparison to other second-placed teams if they lose to Germany and Austria beat Denmark.
-Germany will finish first (and qualify) if they beat Netherlands by four points or more.
-Germany will finish second (and qualify) if they beat Netherlands by less than four points and Austria beat Denmark.
-Germany will finish second at 2-2 and will have to wait to see how they rank in comparison to other second-placed teams if they lose and Austria beat Denmark.
-Germany will finish second at 1-3 if they lose to Netherlands and Denmark beat Austria; in this last scenario Germany cannot qualify.
Group C
As this is the only three-team group and second-placed Bosnia and Herzegovina have played out all their games, we already know where they stand.
– Bosnia and Herzegovina finished at 2-2 and with a points difference of -35 points, which means they need at least three second-placed teams in other groups to finish at 2-2 with a points difference of -36 or lower, or at 1-3.
Group D
It is worth pointing out that in case there is a three-way tie in this group, the current point differential between Poland, Belarus and Estonia (prior to the game between Estonia and Poland on Saturday) is: Poland 13, Belarus -2, Estonia -11.
– Poland will take first place (and qualify) if they beat Estonia.
– Poland will take first place (and qualify) if they lose to Estonia by no more than 14 points and Belarus lose to Portugal.
– Poland will take second place and will have to wait to see how they rank in comparison to other second-placed teams if they lose to Estonia by more than 14 points and Belarus lose to Portugal.
– Poland have no chance of qualifying if they lose to Estonia by 16 points or more and Belarus beat Portugal.
– Estonia will take first place (and qualify) if they beat Poland by 15 points or more.
– Estonia will take second place at 2-2 and will have to wait to see how they rank in comparison to other second-placed teams if they beat Poland by less than 14 points and Belarus lose to Portugal.
– Estonia will take second place at 2-2 and will have to wait to see how they rank in comparison to other second-placed teams if they beat Poland by at least 9 points and Belarus beat Portugal.
– Belarus will take second place at 2-2 and will have to wait to see how they rank in comparison to other second-placed teams if they beat Portugal and Estonia lose to Poland.
– Belarus will take second place at 2-2 and will have to wait to see how they rank in comparison to other second-placed teams if they beat Portugal and Estonia beat Poland by 16 points or more.
Group E
– Ukraine will finish first in the group (and qualify) if they beat Slovenia by 8 points or more.
– Ukraine will finish second in the group at 3-1 and qualify if they beat Slovenia by 1 to 7 points.
– Ukraine will finish second in the group at 2-2 and will have to wait to see how they rank in comparison to other second-placed teams if they lose to Slovenia.
Group F
– Georgia will finish first in the group (and qualify) if they beat Montenegro by 3 points or more.
– Georgia will finish second in the group at 3-1 and qualify if they beat Montenegro by 1 or 2 points.
– Georgia will finish second in the group at 2-2 and will have to wait to see how they rank in comparison to other second-placed teams if they lose to Montenegro.
Group G
Great Britain have already secured second place behind Hungary and since they are playing fourth-placed Luxembourg on Saturday their record and point differential can no longer change (same case as Bosnia and Herzegovina in group C). Great Britain are at 2-2 and have a +17 points difference, so they need at least three second-placed teams to finish with either a worse record or the same 2-2 record but a point differential of +16 or lower.