Qualification chances for all groups

By Lefteris Moutis/  moutis@eurohoops.net

One day before the end of the group stage, Eurohoops calculates all the qualification chances for all teams and helps you understand what needs to happen for everyone in order to get the ticket to the next round. Somethings are already decided, others, like Group C, are still a mess

Group A
Spain will be FIRST in any case

Brazil will be SECOND in any case

France will be THIRD with a win over Iran
will be FOURTH if they lose to Iran by less than 8 points and Serbia loses by Spain

Serbia will be THIRD if they beat Spain
or if they are defeated by Spain and Iran beats France by less than 26 points
will be FOURTH if they lose by Spain and France beats Iran
or if they lose by Spain and Iran beats France by 26 points or more

Iran will be THIRD if they beat France by 26 points or more and Serbia loses by Spain
Will be FOURTH if they beat France and Serbia beats Spain
or if they beat France by 8 or more points and Serbia loses to Spain
will be FIFTH if they beat France by less than 8 points and Serbia loses to Spain

Standings
Spain 4-0
Brazil 3-1
Serbia 2-2
France 2-2
Iran 1-3
Egypt 0-4

Group B

Greece will be FIRST with a win over Argentina
will be SECOND they lose to Argentina

Argentina will be FIRST if they beat Greece
will be SECOND if they lose to Greece and Croatia loses to P. Rico
or if the lose to Greece, Croatia beats P. Rico and Senegal beats Philippines
will be THIRD if they lose to Greece, Croatia beats P. Rico and Senegal loses to Philippines

Senegal will be THIRD if they beat Philippines and Croatia loses to P. Rico
or if they lose to Philippines and P. Rico beats Croatia
or if the beat Philippines, Argentina beats Greece and Croatia beats P. Rico
will be FOURTH if they lose and Croatia beats P. Rico
or if they beat Philippines, Greece beats Argentina and Croatia beats P. Rico

Croatia will be SECOND if they beat P. Rico, Argentina loses to Greece and Senegal loses to Philippines
will be THIRD if they beat P. Rico, Argentina beat Greece and Senegal loses to Philippines
or if ithe beat P. Rico, Argentina loses to Greece and Senegal beats Philippines
will be FOURTH if they beat P. Rico, Argentina beats Greece and Senegal beats Philippines

P. Rico will be FOURTH if they beat Croatia

Standings
Greece 4-0
Argentina 3-1
Senegal 2-2
Croatia 2-2
P. Rico 1-3
Philippines 0-4

Group C
Group C is so complicated that is waste of time and… energy to expose all the possible spots for any team as we did for any other group. It’s just too hard to predict because in the last gameday there are two games between the five teams that fight for the three spots behind USA.

USA will be FIRST in any case

Ukraine will be SECOND if they beat USA

The loser of the game between New Zealand and Finland will go home

But we take as granted that USA will beat Ukraine, so:

The winner of Turkey-Dominican R. will finish second

Turkey
will be FOURTH if the are defeated by Dominican R., New Zealand beats Finland and of course USA beats Ukraine

Turkey will be FIFTH if they are deafeated by Dominican R., New Zealand is also defeated by Finland

Finland will be FOURTH if they beat New Zealand and Ukraine beats USA

Dominican R. will be FIFTH if they lose to Turkey and Finland beats New Zealand

Ukraine will qualify (without thinking about the margin of the loss by USA) if Turkey beats Dominican R. and Finland beats New Zealand. Ukraine will have some possibilities (if the margin of the loss by USA is low) in the case that Turkey loses to Dominican R. and Finland beats New Zealand. That’s the current standings of those five teams and the point difference in the games between them,

Ukraine Turkey Dominican N.Zealand Finland W-L
Ukraine X +6 +10 -12 -5 2-2
Turkey -6 X ? +3 +4 2-1
Dominican -10 ? X +13 +6 2-1
N. Zealand +12 -3 -13 X ? 1-2
Finland +5 -4 -6 ? X 1-2

Standings
USA 4-0
Ukraine 2-2
Turkey 2-2
Dominican R. 2-2
New Zealand 1-3
Finland 1-3

Group D

Slovenia will be FIRST if they beat Lithuania or if they lose by 8 points and Australia wins
will be SECOND if they are defeated by 9 to 13 points and Australia wins
will be THIRD if are defeated by 14 points or more and Australia wins.

Lithuania will be FIRST if they win and Australia loses to Angola
Or if they beat Slovenia by 9 points or more and Australia wins
will be SECOND if they beat Slovenia by 4 to 8 points and Australia wins
will be THIRD if they beat Slovenia  by 1 to 3 points and Australia wins
or if they are defeated by Slovenia

Australia will be SECOND if they beat Angola and Lithuania wins by 1 to 3 points
or if they are defeated by Angola and Slovenia wins Lithuania
will be THIRD if they beat Angola and Lithuania wins by 4 or more points

Mexico will be FOURTH if they beat Korea and Angola loses to Australia

Angola will be FOURTH if they beat Australia and Mexico loses to Korea

Korea will be FOURTH if they beat Mexico by 19 points or more and Angola loses to Australia

Standings
Slovenia 4-0
Australia 3-1
Lithuania 3-1
Mexico 1-3
Angola 1-3
Korea 0-4

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