By Aris Barkas/ barkas@eurohoops.net
You have seen the stars, the rookies, the absences, the rosters of Group A and B, and those of Group C and D, the format, and the schedule, plus we have a guide for those who are not really familiar with the Eurobasket but want to get into it (yes, casual NBA fan, we mean you).
So what’s left? A preview for each group and of course, the predictions for those making it to the Round of 16 and more.
With the top four teams of each group qualifying for Berlin, the first phase it’s not only about the teams making it to the knockout games, but will also decide who will face who until the title game.
So what happens in the first game may come to haunt you later down the road.
Spain, Bulgaria, Turkey, Montenegro, Belgium, Georgia
Things here seem to be quite clear. Spain, despite having only Rudy Fernandez available from the old guard that dominated FIBA basketball for almost 20 years, together with the young and ambitious version of Turkey are ahead of the competition and the rest of the four teams will fight for one ticket.
Here’s where things are going to get tricky. If Georgia had Toko Shengelia, playing at their home might have been enough for them to make it to the next round without a lot of pressure. Now Belgium, Bulgaria, and Montenegro have at least a fighting chance. Traditionally the home factor plays a huge role in Eurobasket results, Georgia has a lot of issues to solve on their backcourt but they can still make it. On the other hand, first and foremost Bulgaria has the chance to shine.
Why Bulgaria? The duo of naturalized point guard Dee Bost and All-EuroLeague forward Sasha Vezenkov might be enough to make things happen compared to the solid rosters of Montenegro and Belgium. After all, Bulgaria without Vezenkov pushed Latvia – without Porzingis of course – out of the Eurobasket with a road win.
Prediction: Spain (1), Turkey (2), Georgia (3), Bulgaria (4)
Germany, France, Slovenia, Lithuania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Hungary
In every FIBA competition, there’s usually a debate about which is the stronger group in the first phase. This time, it was really easy for everyone to agree. This is the “Group of Death” and nobody gives a fighting chance to Hungary. In theory, Bosnia is also an outsider, BUT they just beat France in the recent FIBA windows. And guess what! Germany did the same against Slovenia.
So, yes Doncic is human after all and this makes this prediction even harder. Lithuania is also a medal contender, and Germany is the main Eurobasket host, while France is last year’s Olympic silver medalist. It will be a blood bath with Bosnia of Jusuf Nurkic and Dzanan Musa probably being the odd team out.
The prediction about the final standings of the four top teams is anyone’s guess, plus the second and the third spot probably translate to a meeting with Greece or Serbia before the semifinals. However, we have to deliver what we promised in the title of this post.
Prediction: France (1), Slovenia (2), Lithuania (3), Germany (4)